A report by the Foreign Policy Magazine shows an interesting trend to the global birth trends in the world The study purports that economic stability contributes to a lower population growth and conversely instability and poverty catapults the birth rate to exponential proportions. As a country transitions from poverty to affluence, birthrates plunge—from six or eight children per woman to just about two
Predictions are that if Pakistan were to continue at the prevalent unemployment, endemic poverty, and flailing schools it is quite simply impossible to combat when every year adds more and more people. Suggesting that low birthrates aren’t a consequence of national wealth; rather, they’re needed to create it.
Foreign Policy: Low birthrates aren’t the result of economic growth and political stability; they’re a prerequisite
The estimates are that by the middle of this century Pakistan would have catapulted from 170 million to over 550 million people by 2060. I just wonder if merely solving the birthrate problem will this alone alleviate the ills of our country, but on the other hand its without doubt that the exponential rise in our population will definitely place undue strain on an already frail economy which sadly has no prospects of getting any better. With this in mind maybe my criticism of those TOUCH condom ads that were abundantly aired during the Twenty20 World Cup might be truly be unwarranted
Credit: KO
Comments
17 responses to “Pakistans Future woes maybe linked to exponential birthrate – 550 Million by 2060”
These projections are terrifying. And while 550 million by 2060 is probably a worst case scenario, the UN's "medium" projection for Pakistan for 2050 is 350 million. That's almost a doubling of the population in four decades!
This ridiculous rate of population expansion means we'll end up outstripping our resources in no time, and the biggest shocks will be felt when fresh water supplies start to run out. We already have far less fresh water per capita than we did in 1950; and climate change is leading to a dwindling of the glacial river sources as well. Further, we're using up ground water so rapidly that it is not being replenished by the water cycle.
Add to that food, jobs, housing and other essential requirements, and the fact that the density of cities will increase (Pakistan's urban population is now much greater than its rural population), and things look even worse.
And all this has been known to us since the Ayub Khan days. And yet we continue to pop out babies. The mullahs condemn contraception, with Friday prayers going on about how "If god wills for a child to be born, it will be born" and other such bollocks. Women face deteriorating mental and physical health thanks to giving birth nearly every year. And then some genius mullahs even go as far as to say that contraception is a "ghanauni saazish" by Jews and Indians to reduce the population of the Muslim world. Unbelievable.
Unless this stupid mindset is changed, we'll continue to accelerate towards disaster. Instead of criticising condom ads (fair play, Teeth Maestro, for accepting the other side of the story), people should use their brains and realise what a mess overpopulation is creating in our country.
The main problem is that the quality of our condom industry is very, very low. Their product get leaked just in the middle of "the work". We condomn such condoms…. haha.
Humar aside, should we worry about high population? Such high population is helping the western Muslim increase their influance there in the society. The Christians however should worry about the high rate.
starting few operations like SWAT, Drone attacks and 90s "Operation Cleanup" could be more lethal than condom
@Adnan: how is a condom lethal?
height of fatalism
@danial burki!
condom is not lethal. condom culture is lethal.ask the wetern mother when she puts birth control pills and condom in the bag of her 12 year old daughter when she(daughter) goes to school.
"depth of moral degradation"
Jeech,
You sound so right, and thats the reason un-wanted babies like Danial Burki are born and then they make a mess in the society, because their parents didn't want them in the first place and then didn't pay attention to these babies when they were kind-of-growing. I didn't want to use the term *growing*, but for the lack of a better word 😐
@Dr Jawwad Khan: the 12-year-old daughter bit is a gross exaggeration (though I'm sure there are cases of underage sex, which is very unsafe). But how can you call 12 year olds having sex "moral degradation" when your own prophet married (and consummated marriage with) a girl much younger than that, and when top clerics have NO problem with people marrying 6 year old girls? Height of hypocrisy, and nice way of sidetracking the actual issue.
Answer these questions and engage in a mature discussion: do you think contraception is good or not? Do you think this country has a population problem or not?
What I love about the responses above is how nobody from the fundo/religious right camp has actually addressed the issue of overpopulation!
"though I’m sure there are cases of underage sex, which is very unsafe"
NO!!!! its about degradation of mankind downto the level of animals.
could you please stop talking about Nabi e Kareem(saww) and ummul momineen hazrat aeysha(ra). because every time you say some thing about them it sounds like a blasphemy.there is a lot of decent ways to talk about this issue and put your objections.
contraception could be good if there is a medical reson. islam allows in those situations.once Nabi kareem(saww) allow one companion to adopt the old contraception method.
however muslims are instigated for having larger families.
in islam only the Allah(swt) is nourisher and He clearly said in Quran e kareem:
"Come, I will recite what your Lord has prohibited you from: Join not anything in worship with Him; be good and dutiful to your PARENTS; do not kill your children because of poverty – (Allah) provide sustenance for you and for them; do not come near to Al-Fawahish (shameful sins, illegal sexual intercourse, etc.) whether committed openly or secretly, and kill not anyone whom Allah has forbidden, except for a just cause. This He has commanded you that you may understand."
(sura al anam/ verse 151)
"OVERPOPULATION"
Population of USA in 1909 was 90,490,000 in recent years it became 306560000 (almost 3 times increase)
Population of UK: in 1911 was 33,651,600. in 2009 has been increased upto 60943912
(almost double)
Population of france in 1911 was 41415000. in 2009 it is increased to 62448977.
My question is why these countries aren’t suffering from food shortage.on contrary there is wastage of food in these countries.
They are better now or the better 100 yeaars ago when there population was far more less.
Why England is not suffering from food shortage like 19th and 18th centuries?
Because you have parameters to foresee the population after 50years but you have no means to know the economic expansion in the future, the progress of human knowledge, the progress of science and technology and its applications in the field of production.
In Pakistan the other things made us to reach at this point. Can you give us the guaranty that we will be better in 2059 with the same population which we have right now.with the persistence of the current circustances?
The best way to reduce population is to turn them homos and les as it was being done in west by Marranos. the same cabal is tryin to do the same in our countries under pretext of war on terror.
Marranos Who Worship Mammon
http://karachi-kool.blogspot.com/2009/07/men-who-…
don't forget to read john kaminski article by clicking on Jewish Egregore.
There are more gays in NWFP, than in America.
Zia,
Did you really count them in NWFP, what type of work do you do or what kind of hobbies are you into?
Pakistan's future woes may not be linked to the population growth but they certainly relate to the corrupt Govt of PPP.
The pimps and their whores cry day and night about the rit of the govt but what does the govt really do to provide peace and justice to the citizens.
Read the following story:
http://www.jang.net/jm/7-6-2009/pic.asp?picname=1…
While each of the party involved in current govt, keeps wasting millions of Rupees in promoting themeselves in the print but the govt does not have time or resources to provide security to the citizens.
is it not haram to use a condom In Islam,sex should be performed with the sole intention to produce children and not enjoyment.
i wonder if you are married bro! a muslim gets reward from Allah for enjoying his wife (and the same goes for the wife). Because Allah is Just, if a man were to do zina he will be punished; similarly he'll be rewarded if he does it the halal way. get it?
No wonder Muslims are so wound up all the time
Aik taraf hai talibanization kaa ronaaa
http://www.jang.net/jm/7-8-2009/pic.asp?picname=1…
Aur dosraa chahraa makrooh qaaatil
http://www.jang.net/jm/7-8-2009/pic.asp?picname=1…